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Data for Afghanistan

Province 14 of 34 | Central

Kabul کابل

Kabul is dominated by the city market, so ARMO deliberately looks to the rural belt of Shomali, Surobi and Musahi, where peri-urban growers need wholesale access without entering city congestion.

Capital
Kabul
Region
Central
Area
4,687 km²
Population 2025–26
6,173,494
Density
1,317 per km²
Districts
15
Map of candidate marketplace sites and their road catchments in Kabul
Orange pin: candidate site. Olive shading: 60-minute catchment (dotted line: 30 minutes). Square: provincial center. Circle: existing market. Brown shading: population density.
US$ 8.4 m
base-case annual turnover (range US$ 4.2 m to US$ 12.5 m)
34,820
addressable producer households (249,546 within 60 min)
11,908
underserved rural people brought within 60 min
226
direct jobs, base case (+362 indirect)

Potential marketplace network Estimated

  • 1Kalakan District center

    District: Kalakan

    Aggregation hub linking to wholesale buyers

    To nearest existing market: 25 km, 32 min

    Producer HH ≤60 min: 227,975

    34.7606, 69.1742

  • 2Surobi District center

    District: Surobi

    Aggregation hub linking to wholesale buyers

    To nearest existing market: 26 km, 63 min

    Producer HH ≤60 min: 28,150

    34.5294, 69.7032

Local products and producer groups Strong secondary

  • Vegetables
  • Grape (Shomali)
  • Apricot & mulberry
  • Dairy & poultry
  • Wheat

Farming system: Irrigated horticulture (US$ 950 sales per participating household)

Producer groups: smallholder farmers, livestock and dairy keepers, women's household enterprises, small processors and traders

Crafts: Pottery (Istalif), embroidery

Market catchment and accessibility Estimated

SiteHH ≤30 minHH 30–60 minHH 60–90 minProducer HH ≤60 minAddressableUnderserved
1 Kalakan53,989824,18588,617227,97528,6810%
2 Surobi7,87927,340749,37228,1506,7475%

HH = households of 7.7 people (ALCS 2016–17). The primary indicator is producer households within 60 minutes by road.

Infrastructure requirements

  • Road accessEstimated

    Current situation: No site on a main road; all reached by rural roads or tracks

    All-weather access road, hard-standing and turning area for trucks

  • ElectricityStrong secondary

    Current situation: Grid reaches about 40% of Afghans nationally; rural sites mostly off-grid

    Solar plus battery for lighting, weighing, phone charging and cold rooms; grid tie where a line passes

  • Solar potentialStrong secondary

    Current situation: About 300 sunny days a year; high irradiance nationwide

    Rooftop PV on market sheds (indicative 20 to 60 kWp per site)

  • Internet & mobileAssumption

    Current situation: Mobile connections equal 52% of the population; district centers usually covered

    Mobile money and price-information kiosk; verify signal on site

  • Dry storageEstimated

    Current situation: Few formal stores outside provincial centers

    Warehouse for vegetables, grape (shomali) with pallets and pest control

  • Cold storageEstimated

    Current situation: Rare outside major cities

    Solar cold room or evaporative store for fruit, vegetables and dairy

  • Water, sanitation & loadingAssumption

    Current situation: Not assessed at site level

    Borehole, washing area, separate latrines for women and men; loading bays, livestock pens, certified scales

Economic opportunity and employment Estimated Assumption

ScenarioParticipationProducer salesOther tradingTotal turnoverDirect jobsIndirect jobs
Low10%US$ 3.4 mUS$ 886 kUS$ 4.2 m133213
Base20%US$ 6.7 mUS$ 1.8 mUS$ 8.4 m226362
High30%US$ 10.1 mUS$ 2.7 mUS$ 12.5 m318509

Site columns are summed. The total is de-duplicated where catchments overlap.

Evidence

Population: strong secondary province totals, estimated catchments. Travel time: estimated from the OpenStreetMap road model. Products: strong secondary. Turnover and jobs: assumption parameters applied to estimated households. Site conditions: unknown until field validation.

Open these pages in the PDF (35–36) | Method, assumptions and sources