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Data for Afghanistan

Province 27 of 34 | Central

Panjshir پنجشیر

A narrow, mountainous valley. Value comes from dried mulberry, apricot and livestock products, aggregated for Kabul buyers.

Capital
Bazarak
Region
Central
Area
3,742 km²
Population 2025–26
185,194
Density
49 per km²
Districts
7
Map of candidate marketplace sites and their road catchments in Panjshir
Orange pin: candidate site. Olive shading: 60-minute catchment (dotted line: 30 minutes). Square: provincial center. Circle: existing market. Brown shading: population density.
US$ 3.6 m
base-case annual turnover (range US$ 1.8 m to US$ 5.5 m)
17,251
addressable producer households (108,251 within 60 min)
334
underserved rural people brought within 60 min
121
direct jobs, base case (+194 indirect)

Potential marketplace network Estimated

  • 1Anawa Market town

    District: Unaba

    Aggregation hub linking to wholesale buyers

    To nearest existing market: 21 km, 37 min

    Producer HH ≤60 min: 106,586

    35.2169, 69.3628

  • 2Paryan District center

    District: Paryan

    Aggregation hub linking to wholesale buyers

    To nearest existing market: 32 km, 51 min

    Producer HH ≤60 min: 5,962

    35.6482, 70.0442

Local products and producer groups Strong secondary

  • Mulberry (dried)
  • Apricot
  • Wheat
  • Potato
  • Sheep, goats & honey

Farming system: Mixed farming (US$ 750 sales per participating household)

Producer groups: smallholder farmers, livestock and dairy keepers, women's household enterprises, small processors and traders

Crafts: Gem cutting (emerald), woolen goods

Market catchment and accessibility Estimated

SiteHH ≤30 minHH 30–60 minHH 60–90 minProducer HH ≤60 minAddressableUnderserved
1 Anawa40,44294,26096,186106,58616,5200%
2 Paryan1,5115,61410,7905,9621,1181%

HH = households of 7.7 people (ALCS 2016–17). The primary indicator is producer households within 60 minutes by road.

Infrastructure requirements

  • Road accessEstimated

    Current situation: All 2 sites on a main road

    Hard-standing, parking and safe entry from the highway

  • ElectricityStrong secondary

    Current situation: Grid reaches about 40% of Afghans nationally; rural sites mostly off-grid

    Solar plus battery for lighting, weighing, phone charging and cold rooms; grid tie where a line passes

  • Solar potentialStrong secondary

    Current situation: About 300 sunny days a year; high irradiance nationwide

    Rooftop PV on market sheds (indicative 20 to 60 kWp per site)

  • Internet & mobileAssumption

    Current situation: Mobile connections equal 52% of the population; district centers usually covered

    Mobile money and price-information kiosk; verify signal on site

  • Dry storageEstimated

    Current situation: Few formal stores outside provincial centers

    Warehouse for mulberry (dried), apricot with pallets and pest control

  • Cold storageEstimated

    Current situation: Rare outside major cities

    Not a first-phase priority; drying yards and ventilated stores instead

  • Water, sanitation & loadingAssumption

    Current situation: Not assessed at site level

    Borehole, washing area, separate latrines for women and men; loading bays, livestock pens, certified scales

Economic opportunity and employment Estimated Assumption

ScenarioParticipationProducer salesOther tradingTotal turnoverDirect jobsIndirect jobs
Low10%US$ 1.3 mUS$ 540 kUS$ 1.8 m80128
Base20%US$ 2.6 mUS$ 1.1 mUS$ 3.6 m121194
High30%US$ 4 mUS$ 1.6 mUS$ 5.5 m161258

Site columns are summed. The total is de-duplicated where catchments overlap.

Evidence

Population: strong secondary province totals, estimated catchments. Travel time: estimated from the OpenStreetMap road model. Products: strong secondary. Turnover and jobs: assumption parameters applied to estimated households. Site conditions: unknown until field validation.

Open these pages in the PDF (61–62) | Method, assumptions and sources